The Once and Future Moon Blog, Written by Paul D. Spudis

November 18, 2008

Another “Roadmap”

Considerable buzz was generated in space circles last week when The Planetary Society, the keepers of Carl Sagan’s flame, released a report that recommended a re-orientation of the Vision for Space Exploration.  This report was based in part on the results of an invitation-only workshop held at Stanford University last February.  The object of that workshop was to examine U. S. national space policy with the specific aim of determining whether goals intermediate to a human mission to Mars other than the Moon were feasible and desirable.

Anyone who knows the history of Sagan and The Planetary Society (TPS) could probably guess what the conclusion of this workshop was going to be.  Carl was famous for his opinion that our Moon was “boring” whereas Mars, as a possible cradle of early primitive life, was a fitting object for intensive scientific exploration.  This premise in fact has guided most of the robotic exploration of the Solar System by NASA for the past 30 years.  While lunar scientists couldn’t convince NASA to send a polar orbiter to the Moon until the ultra-cheap Lunar Prospector in 1998, Mars has seen a flotilla of spacecraft probe its secrets, measuring and mapping every quantity known to man both from orbit and the surface.

Wonder of wonders!  The new report recommends that exploration of the Moon be “deferred.”  In favor of what?  Human missions to the Lagrangian points (areas in space that are fixed relative to large bodies, such as the Earth and Sun) and a near-Earth asteroid.  So instead of the “boring Moon” – a little planet with a complex history closely tied to the origin and evolution of the Earth – they want human missions to empty points in space and to investigate the abundant and varied problems posed by large orbiting rocks.

A lot of the chatter about the Planetary Society report has focused on whether the report  missed the point of going to the Moon – the “we-must-learn-to-crawl-before-we-can-walk” argument of using the Moon as a training ground for Mars.  Some point out that we have very little experience in living and working on other planetary surfaces.  We do not have the long-lived, ultra-reliable subsystems needed to fly missions of very long duration and limited abort capability.  By going to the Moon, we can develop those technologies and learn those skills needed to live, work on, and explore any planet.

I submit that their counter-arguments miss the point.  The basic assumption of the TPS report is that the purpose of the space program is scientific exploration and that academic scientists should determine where and how program money is spent.  This worldview (called “Saganism” by space advocates) has long prevailed among space scientists, the Science sections of NASA, and portions of the space community.  A corollary of Saganism is that the Quest for Life Elsewhere is and ought to be the principal mission of NASA.  Former Administrator of the agency Dan Goldin, for one, subscribed to this view.

One of the most interesting (and little-known) aspects of the Vision is that its object is much greater than exploration alone.  A startling aspect of the original Vision was making the use of lunar and space resources a key objective of lunar return.  Almost everyone ignored both the intent and purpose of such an inclusion.  Fundamentally, it’s about expanding the economic sphere of mankind from low Earth orbit to cislunar space and beyond.  In other words, we hope to use the material and energy resources of space to create new markets, new capabilities and new opportunities.  This aspect of the Vision was brilliantly illuminated and elaborated upon in an overlooked speech by Presidential Science Advisor John Marburger at the Goddard Symposium in 2006.

Space is a big place and ripe with many possibilities.  The Planetary Society wants to keep it a sanctuary for science, regulated and ruled by scientists for scientific purposes.  The Vision is about expanding opportunities in space for many different and varied parties, including scientists.  The Moon is included because it is the first place near the Earth that has the material and energy resources to allow us to understand if using space resources is possible and if so, how difficult that might be.  This objective is not merely designed to lower the costs of future space missions, but to understand what it takes for humankind to live off-planet.  If people are to have a future in space, we simply must learn how to extract and produce what they need from what’s already there; we cannot drag everything we need with us from the deep gravity well of the Earth.

Science or settlement?  The Quest for Life Elsewhere or the Quest for Prosperity Here?  Policy and direction set by an elite priesthood or by a free market?  Those arguments are at the root of the policy debate initiated by the TPS report.


November 15, 2008

Hitting a bull’s-eye on the Moon

Close-up of the lunar surface close up pictures of the moon's surface taken by the Moon Impact Probe (MIP) after separating from the Chandrayaan-1 spacecraft.

Close-up of the lunar surface close up pictures of the moon

I am in Bangalore, sitting awake in my hotel room at 4 am. Last night was a memorable and exciting experience. Chandrayaan-1, in lunar orbit since last Saturday, released its Moon Impact Probe (MIP), designed to descend and hit the Moon at high velocity, sending images and other data as it went. This part of the mission had to go well in order to fully deploy the Chandrayaan antenna, required to send all the mapping data to Earth. Once the antenna is deployed tomorrow, Chandrayaan will begin the job of mapping the Moon from a polar orbit for the next two years.

What a great linked-together world we live in! As I sit here in India, in the middle of the night, on the opposite side of the Earth, my good friend Astronaut Don Pettit and six of his colleagues are getting ready to blast into orbit on the Space Shuttle Endeavour. I am watching the launch countdown on NASA TV over the internet on my laptop computer. In addition, I’m getting live launch status and weather reports via e-mail from my colleague Dr. Ben Bussey of the Applied Physics Laboratory, who is down at the Cape for the launch. Ben just sent me a Blackberry cell phone image he took of the Shuttle on the pad, lit up by floodlights; I reciprocated by sending him an image sent down last night from the Moon by the MIP just a few minutes before its impact. And just now, the NASA TV feed shows a nearly full Moon, slowly rising over the Atlantic and the Shuttle launch site. Three friends, separated by the globe and involved in two very different space missions, but looking over each others’ shoulders. I think about it and find it profound and deeply satisfying.

Back to the MIP impact last night. It has the air of a Hollywood premier about it. The press is packed along the street outside the Mission Control Center, the Chairman of the Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO) and the former President of India are in the viewing room, along with hundreds of ISRO engineers and scientists. The air is electric with anticipation. Although the mission of Chandrayaan has been nearly flawless so far, the release, descent and impact of the MIP is a critical event, not only for its data, but also for the pride India feels in this mission, all riding on a little subsatellite with the national flag painted on its side.

We have little to look at in the control center. Large computer projection displays show technical data and graphs. We observe major mission events by noting a change in velocity here or a drop in voltage there. I am somewhat lost, but one of the investigators on the MIP mass spectrometer helps me interpret what I’m seeing. The MIP separates from Chandrayaan, begins to spin for stabilization, and then fires a solid rocket motor to brake itself out of lunar orbit. The descent to the surface takes about 25 minutes. We see none of the data in real time; the images and measurements are being relayed to the main spacecraft and will be sent down to Earth in 90 minutes, on the next orbital pass. We see that everything is working fine through the cryptic and delightful expedient of observing Chandrayaan’s data recorder filling up – with numbers in hexadecimal, no less! – presumably with data from the probe. Suddenly, the graphs show a large spike or a drop to zero; the probe has hit the Moon! Applause and cheers!

There is much backslapping and good cheer in the room. President Abdul Kalam makes a brief and moving statement, dedicating the Moon probe to India’s children as a symbol of hope for the future. My colleague from APL and I decide that it’s been a long day and it’s best to leave the facility now; there’ll be plenty of time to look at the scientific results tomorrow. As we emerge from our cocoon, I am amazed to see the press frenzy outside. Long lines of reporters are doing TV remotes and newspaper people pace the sidewalk. They have been kept out of the control center and only a few are being let in for interviews. Therefore, anybody coming outside is fair game and they pounce on the two Americans (not particularly inconspicuous over here) for scraps of information. Who are we? Are we part of the mission? Was the probe impact successful? (This last question surprises me – haven’t they been told yet that all went well?) We try to answer their questions, but our car is waiting and the last thing we want is to get caught in the obviously approaching massive traffic jam. So we leap for the car doors and speed off into the night.

The MIP impact is a major public and media event. It is a source of great pride to the Indians and ISRO has done a marvelous job on the mission. But the real work is yet to come. In the next two years, Chandrayaan will map the Moon in unprecedented detail. Future milestones may be less splashy, but they will largely make up the ultimate value of the Chandryaan-1 mission.


November 9, 2008

The Moon, space and other things

The editors of Air & Space magazine have asked me to continue blogging on lunar exploration, the space program in general, and the relationship of both to broader society. I am happy to do so. This is my first post on the new blog, “The Once and Future Moon.”

A brief word about that name. People who know me will recognize it as the title of a book I wrote over a decade ago (The Once and Future Moon, Smithsonian Institution University Press, 1996, 300 pp.). At that time, no return to the Moon was being contemplated by the American space program and international intentions were unclear. I believed then – as I believe now – that the Moon is our logical next destination in space, a natural space station where we can learn the skills and develop the technologies to live and work on another world. Thus, that choice of title reflected my conviction that the Moon has an important story to tell both about its history and the history of the early solar system, but also about its role as a critical asset to the future movement of humanity into space.

Since that book was published, much has changed. America’s new strategic direction in space includes the Moon. Moreover, many other nations, particularly in Asia, have set their sights on the Moon. These ongoing lunar missions are producing information that will revolutionize our understanding of the history and processes of that body.

Why has the Moon become interesting again? What do we hope to accomplish there? How can the Moon become a useful object in enabling our exploration of space? Will we take advantage of these opportunities? In future posts, I hope to address these and other related questions.

A brief word about me by way of introduction. I am a geologist by training and have studied the Moon and lunar science for the past 30 years. I have worked at the U. S. Geological Survey in Flagstaff, Arizona, the Applied Physics Laboratory in Laurel Maryland and both previously and currently, the Lunar and Planetary Institute in Houston, Texas. My work focused initially on lunar geological history, but for the last 20 years, I also have worked for a return to the Moon, including serving on two White House groups assembled to examine technologies and architectures for lunar return. I am currently involved in characterizing the environment and processes of the polar regions of the Moon, with the aim of understanding whether they could be appropriate places to establish a human foothold on the Moon. The poles of the Moon are of extreme interest and exactly why they are so important is a topic I hope to develop in some detail in future entries in this column.

So, with that out of the way, what’s new on the Moon?


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